diff --git a/src/main/services/team/provisioning/TeamProvisioningLaunchFailurePolicy.ts b/src/main/services/team/provisioning/TeamProvisioningLaunchFailurePolicy.ts
index be073191..8d99b5a6 100644
--- a/src/main/services/team/provisioning/TeamProvisioningLaunchFailurePolicy.ts
+++ b/src/main/services/team/provisioning/TeamProvisioningLaunchFailurePolicy.ts
@@ -1,7 +1,4 @@
-import {
-  isProvisionedButNotAliveFailureReason,
-  stripProcessTableUnavailableDiagnosticSuffix,
-} from '@shared/utils/teamLaunchFailureReason';
+import { stripProcessTableUnavailableDiagnosticSuffix } from '@shared/utils/teamLaunchFailureReason';
 
 import { mentionsProcessTableUnavailable } from './TeamProvisioningLaunchDiagnostics';
 import { isBootstrapInstructionPrompt } from './TeamProvisioningPromptBuilders';
@@ -72,7 +69,20 @@ export function isBootstrapMcpResourceReadFailureReason(reason?: string): boolea
 }
 
 export function isBootstrapCheckInTimeoutFailureReason(reason?: string): boolean {
-  return reason?.trim() === 'Teammate was registered but did not bootstrap-confirm before timeout.';
+  const text = reason?.trim();
+  if (!text) {
+    return false;
+  }
+  if (text === 'Teammate was registered but did not bootstrap-confirm before timeout.') {
+    return true;
+  }
+  const normalized = text.toLowerCase();
+  return (
+    normalized.includes('bootstrap prompt was submitted') &&
+    normalized.includes('did not bootstrap-confirm') &&
+    normalized.includes('submitted-confirmation timeout') &&
+    normalized.includes('last transport stage: bootstrap_submitted')
+  );
 }
 
 export function isBootstrapInstructionPromptFailureReason(reason?: string): boolean {
diff --git a/test/main/services/team/TeamProvisioningLaunchFailurePolicy.test.ts b/test/main/services/team/TeamProvisioningLaunchFailurePolicy.test.ts
index 99a94de7..cb705220 100644
--- a/test/main/services/team/TeamProvisioningLaunchFailurePolicy.test.ts
+++ b/test/main/services/team/TeamProvisioningLaunchFailurePolicy.test.ts
@@ -3,8 +3,8 @@ import {
   isAutoClearableLaunchFailureReason,
   isBootstrapCheckInTimeoutFailureReason,
   isBootstrapInstructionPromptFailureReason,
-  isCliProvisionedButNotAliveFailureReason,
   isBootstrapMcpResourceReadFailureReason,
+  isCliProvisionedButNotAliveFailureReason,
   isConfigRegistrationFailureReason,
   isLaunchCleanupBootstrapIncompleteFailureReason,
   isLaunchGraceWindowFailureReason,
@@ -68,6 +68,16 @@ describe('TeamProvisioningLaunchFailurePolicy', () => {
         'Teammate was registered but did not bootstrap-confirm before timeout.'
       )
     ).toBe(true);
+    expect(
+      isBootstrapCheckInTimeoutFailureReason(
+        'Bootstrap prompt was submitted, but teammate did not bootstrap-confirm before submitted-confirmation timeout (3m). Last transport stage: bootstrap_submitted'
+      )
+    ).toBe(true);
+    expect(
+      isBootstrapCheckInTimeoutFailureReason(
+        'Bootstrap prompt was submitted, but teammate did not bootstrap-confirm before timeout.'
+      )
+    ).toBe(false);
     expect(
       isBootstrapInstructionPromptFailureReason(
         'You are bootstrapping into team atlas. Your first action is to call the MCP tool member_briefing.'
@@ -107,6 +117,16 @@ describe('TeamProvisioningLaunchFailurePolicy', () => {
         'Teammate did not join within the launch grace window.; process table unavailable'
       )
     ).toBe(true);
+    expect(
+      isAutoClearableLaunchFailureReason(
+        'Bootstrap prompt was submitted, but teammate did not bootstrap-confirm before submitted-confirmation timeout (3m). Last transport stage: bootstrap_submitted'
+      )
+    ).toBe(true);
+    expect(
+      isAutoClearableLaunchFailureReason(
+        'Bootstrap prompt was submitted, but teammate did not bootstrap-confirm before timeout.'
+      )
+    ).toBe(false);
     expect(
       isAutoClearableLaunchFailureReason(
         'CLI process exited (code 1) \u2014 team provisioned but not alive'
diff --git a/test/main/services/team/TeamProvisioningService.test.ts b/test/main/services/team/TeamProvisioningService.test.ts
index 0554258f..85381cd7 100644
--- a/test/main/services/team/TeamProvisioningService.test.ts
+++ b/test/main/services/team/TeamProvisioningService.test.ts
@@ -21421,7 +21421,8 @@ describe('TeamProvisioningService', () => {
           status: 'failed',
           lastAttemptAt: Date.parse(acceptedAt),
           lastObservedAt: Date.parse(failureAt),
-          failureReason: 'Teammate was registered but did not bootstrap-confirm before timeout.',
+          failureReason:
+            'Bootstrap prompt was submitted, but teammate did not bootstrap-confirm before submitted-confirmation timeout (3m). Last transport stage: bootstrap_submitted',
         },
       ],
       failureAt